Many commentators have pointed to the uneventful campaign and the lack of interest in the 24 September federal elections in Germany, but their outcome could potentially result in important changes for the EU and the Eurozone. Chancellor Angela Merkel and the CDU/CSU are leading in opinion polls by a wide margin, and her fourth mandate as German Chancellor seems a foregone conclusion.
How significant will the change in policy be? There are two primary variables to watch: (1) the coalition that will emerge from the poll and (2) how the junior party (or parties) in the coalition will weigh on the role of the Finance Minister, a position that is key for future policies towards Europe.
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